Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 9.119326 10.197309 11.361237 12.712915 14.241412 15.918496 17.901057
2025-04-20 7.470454 8.896462 10.544295 12.595166 15.087531 18.028601 21.777479
2025-04-27 6.315175 7.953672 9.965442 12.631011 16.090720 20.457074 26.429034
2025-05-04 5.358778 7.102020 9.364517 12.540877 16.924701 22.819261 31.442002
2025-05-11 4.489713 6.231402 8.608955 12.129090 17.272020 24.609778 36.048761
2025-05-18 3.823256 5.537172 7.988802 11.803411 17.683665 26.559866 41.269146
2025-05-25 3.299702 4.970830 7.467332 11.536631 18.135206 28.644623 47.114333
2025-06-01 2.894439 4.523434 7.057968 11.374528 18.719124 31.033799 53.942340
2025-06-08 2.571672 4.159493 6.726090 11.282424 19.398626 33.695416 61.797550
2025-06-15 2.368818 3.961622 6.634043 11.575758 20.787106 37.831652 73.245592
2025-06-22 2.126606 3.664804 6.333650 11.454552 21.403241 40.663595 82.792347
2025-06-29 1.891518 3.350134 5.959855 11.140729 21.599507 42.719809 91.206043
2025-07-06 1.696548 3.088225 5.656119 10.932131 22.005804 45.352584 101.687625
2025-07-13 1.581429 2.960349 5.586363 11.176310 23.392355 50.333030 118.841047
2025-07-20 1.484577 2.855209 5.546612 11.477071 24.960964 56.049158 139.345484
2025-07-27 1.379988 2.721666 5.432592 11.602835 26.166420 61.192220 159.858160
2025-08-03 1.254924 2.531317 5.177280 11.378192 26.518628 64.361213 175.983086
2025-08-10 1.147511 2.365142 4.952275 11.188913 26.926082 67.767832 193.818982
2025-08-17 1.053989 2.217810 4.749915 11.022644 27.364746 71.362724 213.341753
2025-08-24 0.976101 2.095773 4.588889 10.932571 27.988567 75.611571 236.282724
2025-08-31 0.909578 1.991620 4.455940 10.892804 28.744045 80.415136 262.646814
2025-09-07 0.871969 1.949341 4.462520 11.213004 30.566138 88.801293 304.312890
2025-09-14 0.813286 1.851054 4.322573 11.124375 31.198519 93.697603 335.054328